2026 Mid-Year Pulse Survey
This Mid-Year Pulse Survey reflects 332 responses collected via an online survey fielded through SurveyMonkey's general respondent audience between late June and mid-July 2026. Unlike the annual Business Insights Report, this panel was not pre-screened or verified as active business owners. A subset of 84 respondents has since been identified as existing Fora Financial customers, based on distribution channel and response timing; the remaining 248 are treated here as the web/prospect cohort.
Key Findings
Performance Holds Steady at Midyear
75% of business owners say 2026 is meeting or beating their expectations so far, with 28% outperforming plans.
Cash Flow Is the Defining Pressure
57% say cash flow has become more challenging since January, well ahead of inflation (42%) and access to capital (33%).
Caution, Not Retreat
68% are proceeding with plans, either as normal or more carefully, while just 6% are actively pulling back.
Financing and Price Increases Lead Adaptation
Raising prices (33%), seeking new financing (31%), and adopting new tech or AI (31%) are the top steps businesses have taken.
Mid-Year Performance & Outlook
- Better than expected
- About as expected
- Worse than expected
Compared to your expectations at the start of 2026, how is your business performing at the midpoint of the year? (n=332)
Three in Four Businesses Are Meeting or Beating Plan
Asked how their business is performing relative to expectations set at the start of the year, 47% say results are about as expected and 28% say they are outperforming. Only one in four report falling short at the midpoint.
75% of business owners say 2026 is meeting or exceeding expectations at the midpoint
Has customer demand for your products or services changed in the past six months? (n=308)
Customer Demand Is Strengthening More Often Than It's Softening
45% of business owners report demand has strengthened over the past six months, more than double the 22% who report a softening. A third say demand has held steady, pointing to a market that is expanding more than it is contracting.
Pressures & Uncertainty
Which of the following have become more challenging for your business since January 2026? Select all that apply. (n=312)
Cash Flow Is the Clear Leading Challenge Since January
57% of business owners say cash flow has become more challenging since the start of 2026, well ahead of inflation and rising costs (42%) and access to capital (33%). Tariffs sit at the bottom of the list at 11%, on par with businesses reporting no change at all, a sign tariffs aren't the pressure still accelerating this year.
57% say cash flow has become more challenging since January 2026
Recession Fears Persist, But Few Are Standing Still
Six in ten business owners think a recession before the end of 2026 is at least possible, yet most are pressing forward: 68% are moving ahead with plans as normal or proceeding more carefully, and only 6% are actively pulling back.
- Likely
- Possibly
- No
- Not sure
How Business Owners Are Adapting
Since January 2026, have you made any of the following changes to how you run your business? Select all that apply. (n=299)
Pricing, Financing, and Cost Cuts Lead the Response
Since January, business owners have leaned hardest on raising prices (33%), seeking new or additional financing (31%), and adopting new technology or AI tools (31%). Nearly one in five report no significant changes at all.
70% of business owners say they are at least somewhat confident about finishing 2026 strong
How confident are you in your business's ability to finish 2026 strong? (n=294) | Very + somewhat confident combined.
Customer vs. Web Cohort
Same Pressures, Different Playbook
84 of the 332 respondents have been identified as existing Fora Financial customers (surveyed via a separate, earlier channel); the remaining 248 are treated as the web/prospect cohort.
Inflation, Not Cash Flow, Tops Customer Concerns
Customers rank inflation (55%) above cash flow (50%) as their top challenge since January — the only cohort where that happens. Web respondents still rank cash flow first, and more dominantly (60% vs. 37% inflation).
Customers Are Hiring, Prospects Mostly Aren't
30% of customers hired new employees since January vs. just 8% of the web cohort — the widest gap of any measure in the survey.
Customers Report Stronger Demand
54% of customers say demand has strengthened vs. 42% of the web cohort, and customers are notably more recession-resistant (38% say no recession vs. 25% of web respondents).
Prospects Talk Opportunity, Customers Take Action
The web cohort is 3x more likely to say they're "using uncertainty as an opportunity" (13% vs. 4%), yet customers are the ones actually raising prices, cutting costs, and hiring at higher rates.
Which of the following have become more challenging for your business since January 2026? Select all that apply. (Customer n=84; Web/prospect n=228, derived by subtraction)
The Inflation vs. Cash Flow Flip
Customers and the web cohort face largely the same pressures, but in a different order. Customers put inflation ahead of cash flow and feel staffing costs nearly twice as acutely; the web cohort's pressure is more heavily concentrated on cash flow itself.
Since January 2026, have you made any of the following changes to how you run your business? (Customer n=84; Web/prospect n=215, derived by subtraction)
Customers Are the More Active, Adaptive Group
Demand
Customer 54% strengthening / Web 42% strengthening
Recession belief
Customer 38% say no recession / Web 25% say no
Response to uncertainty
Web 13% call it an opportunity vs. Customer 4%
How This Compares to the 2026 Annual Business Insights Report
The annual report was fielded Feb–Mar 2026 on a larger, more rigorously screened sample. This pulse uses different question wording and an unscreened panel, so treat these as directional reads on how sentiment has moved through H1, not a validated trend line.
Optimism is tracking almost exactly
76% expected revenue growth in the annual report (Feb–Mar). 75% now say they're meeting or beating those expectations at the midpoint — the early-year outlook is holding up in practice.
Cash flow isn't just the top issue, it's intensifying
Cash flow was already the #1 challenge at 55% in the annual report. Since January, 57% say it has become more challenging still — the same pressure, getting worse.
Recession caution is rising even as broad sentiment improved
52% expected favorable economic conditions in 2026, up from 48% in 2025. Yet by mid-year, 60% now say a recession before year-end is at least possible — broad optimism hasn't erased recession-specific worry.
Staffing pressure hasn't kept climbing the way cash flow has
Staffing was the second-fastest-rising challenge in the annual report (41%, +6 pts YoY). Since January, only 27% say it's grown more challenging still, well behind cash flow's 57%. The pressure that was accelerating earlier in the year isn't the pressure accelerating now.